Introductory fantasy football: standings, levels, beginners, table strength, big questions and more

Like most seasons, the top choice in nearly all of the Fantasy Football drafts this season will be to dip. As of Sunday night, there are 388 drafts in the National Fantasy Championship, and Jonathan Taylor’s average draft position is 1.12.

It is clear that Taylor will not be alone. In the ADP, seven of the top 12 run back and 14 of the top 24 also run. And history suggests that these would be good picks—between 2016 and 2020, the contestants selected in the first round earned more than 300 PPR points in 12 of 30 seasons, with 12 out of 30 reaching at least 200; 13 out of 23 had over 200 in the second round as well.

This week is all about running backwards on the CBS Sports Fantasy Football Draft prep page, as a whole fantasy football today The team will break down the situation from every possible angle to make sure you’re ready to craft what may be the most important position in Fantasy. And that begins today in our newsletter, where I’ll look at the status of the position entering 2022 and address some of the biggest questions facing Fantasy players this season.

Adam Eiser and I talked about a few of those important questions on Monday’s episode of fantasy football today at 5, so check it out for Aizer’s take on the Broncos backfields, Ezekiel Elliott’s death reported, and the rookie ran into the back row. I’ll have more in-depth thoughts on all of these topics this week, and we’ll wrap it up Friday with our RB cheat sheet with everything you need to know, including our latest rankings.

For now, let’s get a feel for the back sprint position before we dive any deeper. You can start with the following links from the FFT team:

running back case

So what does running backwards look like heading into 2022? Interestingly, while there seems to be a feeling among most Fantasy analysts that running back is the deepest position at the top of the Drafts, only seven of the contestants are in the top 12 in the ADP on NFC at the moment, consistent with 2019 for the lowest number since 2017.

This can actually be taken as a statement about the relative depth of the position, and what it is worth; With so few it seems Effect Wide receivers and narrow ends are available, and getting a squad builder like Travis Kelce, Cooper Kupp, Justin Jefferson or Ja’Marr Chase may actually be a bigger priority, knowing you can wait for the likes of Aaron Jones, Saquon Barkley, Alvin Kamara, Leonard Fournette, Or Nick Chap, all 18-24 players who scored in the NFC drafts on average.

Of course, you might look at that list and wonder if the situation is as deep as expected. Each of these players has some very important question marks, from the availability (Camara, Barkley) to the role (Jones, Fortnite) to the upside (Chap). Of course, if you don’t end up with one of these guys as your #1 RB, then you’ll be left with Cam Akers / James Conner / Breece Hall / Travis Etienne crewwho have their own huge question marks with ADPs in the third round.

These two combinations are good examples of why I remain a supporter of the Hero-RB strategy, which mostly means taking one of the studs in the first two rounds. Obviously where in the draft you end up will affect how you attack any strategy, but overall, if I can end up with one of my top five backers – any one of the first three levels here – I’m content to fill the remaining positions before looking for My choice number 2 and 3.

Mostly because I’m trying to avoid the RB Dead Zone, one of those buzzwords I really believe in. The idea is that you get to a point in drafts every year where your runs tend to become really bad investments. Historically, this has been around the thirteenth round of the race, around the third and especially after that. From 2016 through 2020, runners drafted in the third round hit 300 PPR points 5% of the time and 200 plus 40% of the time; In the fourth and fifth stages, zero out of 35 scored more than 300 points and only 23% reached 200 points.

This is where you tend to find joists in position, obviously. It’s where youngsters with uncertain roles, uncertain records and veterans with limited real upside but supposedly “safe” roles are pushed. If you are looking for examples of RB models in the Dead Zone, Etienne, JK Dobbins, Antonio Gibson, Elijah Mitchell, and AJ Dillon all fit into the previous category, while Ezekiel Elliott, Josh Jacobs, Damien Harris and Clyde Edwards -Helaire fits the bill for the latter.

This doesn’t mean you shouldn’t craft any of these players; don’t even say I He will not draft any of these players. I even like a few of them–although I’ll admit I feel like Tobias Funke goes some way to it”But it might work for us … “Every time I draft for Jacobs or Elliott. But that means if you want to invest in the RB Dead Zone, just know that the odds are not in your favor.

Let’s say you’re going to skip the emergence of the elite runners and the emergence of the dead zone. In this case, that means you’ll be building a Zero-RB, which means you need to look for a mix of potential ground plays early in the season (I love Rashad Penny, Chase Edmunds and Cordaryl Patterson for this part) and higher picks, like Rachaad White, Kenneth Gainwell, and Tyler Allgeier. The rate of attrition when running is so high – I estimate somewhere that about 50% of the expected drop in week one isn’t in that turn by week eight in most seasons – that you’re betting that you can secure a high weekly rise in every other situation while positioning yourself to chase their backs The inevitable who pop up every year.

It’s a risky strategy, but the thing to keep in mind is… that almost all running situations are risks. They are inherently vulnerable to injury, and because so much of their value depends on things beyond their control – training options, offensive tactics, the competence of their teammates – they end up being completely unpredictable.

If you’re new to Fantasy Football, this is probably the biggest thing you should take away from this: no matter how strong or weak your running looks, either overall or on your team, you should bet it will look very different in the not-too-distant future. .

Five Big Questions About Return

We’ll delve deeper into each of these questions and countless others the rest of the week, and the rest of the FFT team will provide their own answers at some point – make sure you subscribe to the podcast if you haven’t. t already for some strange reason, as they started the placement previews this week.

But here are my quick thoughts on five big questions starting in the week of RB Preview:

Is Zero-RB or Hero-RB still a viable strategy?

I overdid it a bit, but for sure! Zero-RB and Hero-RB (or “modified Zero-RB” or whatever you want to call it) are concepts based on historical trends that have been proven year after year. Heath Cummings will be writing about his zero goals later in the week, but check out this article from last year where he goes over the basics of strategy in case you’re not familiar, it’s mainly down to what I’m doing. He previously wrote about it: Running backwards is the ultimate risk.

I think the Hero-RB strategy reflects reality more accurately, because in the first two rounds, running backwards is no more dangerous than any other position, and they tend to have a bit more upside (especially at the higher end). However, the thing you want to remember is, if you end up starting my league with, say, Travis Kelsey, Mike Evans, and AJ BrownYou shouldn’t feel compelled to stick around doubling your running back with your next picks to make up for the loss on the high end. You miss getting the high end, you won’t make up for it later.

I’m not dogmatically committed to either Zero- or Hero-RB — I doubled down on Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in a recent draft I wrote about last week — but I am a firm believer in the principles behind it. Avoiding the RB Dead Zone is one of the most effective ways you can secure an advantage over your competitors. It’s not guaranteed to succeed, but the odds are in your favor.

Should anyone but Jonathan Taylor be the number one on RB?

Yes Christian McCaffrey! Next question!

Well, I realize I’m in the minority on this. Neither Jamey, Dave, or Heath agreed with me, and only 21 of the 144 experts at FantasyPros.com have McCaffrey in first place in RB. There are dozens of us – dozens!

But I do think McCaffrey is the highest-grossing forward in Fantasia, and while his injury history is clearly worrisome if you start from the assumption that all running backs have a relatively high probability of getting hurt, I wouldn’t put in much. Value in “safety”. Is McCaffrey more likely than Taylor’s injury? Yes maybe. But that’s by no means a certainty, and McCaffrey is practically a lock-in of 24 PPR when he’s healthy. I don’t miss it.

Is Jafonte Williams ready to be the man?

The joke going on on FFT last season was that every week was a Jafonte Williams week. There was a good month-long stretch as one analyst or another predicted the week would be the week the Broncos finally handed things over to Williams before Melvin Gordon, and they were never right. There was one game where Gordon went out and Williams was a star, hitting 178 yards, six catches and touchdowns in Week 13, but Gordon came back the following week, started each of the last five games, and actually had a bit more of a load. From Williams in this extension.

Of course, we have a new coaching staff in Denver, with Nathaniel Hackett taking over as head coach after spending three years as the Packers offensive coordinator. The Packers, who were notorious for making several appearances each week, sparked the eternal consternation of Fantasy players.

That doesn’t mean Williams had a role split again, and even if he did, I think it would be like a 60-40 split. But, it can be argued that the overall ADP of the RB9/15.4 invites quite a bit of risk. There’s a positive side too, sure, enough that I’ve taken Williams as number one for me, but I’m willing to be disappointed.

Would any of the novices be a must start for the imagination?

History indicates that there is at least one will: The Rookie has finished #1 in the RB Ranking 10 years in a row and as nine of the top 10 RB players over the past 10 years. And who am I to face history?

Well, I rank Hall down in the RB22, so I guess I’m against history. The Jets ranked 22nd in PPR points by sprinting last season, and while 64% of all passes were thrown by Zach Wilson, only 52% of passes thrown to sprints came from Wilson. Hopefully the Jets’ offensive takes a step forward this season, but that’s by no means a guarantee, and at least from what we saw last season, there’s a chance Wilson will significantly limit the upside to appearing on this offense. Not looking for them in the scrolling game.

That may change with Hall. Or maybe it’s a playmaker so dynamic that it doesn’t matter; It doesn’t matter Derek Henry And Jonathan Taylor doesn’t catch passes. Hall is skilled enough to be a factor in the passing game, for what it’s worth, but it’s also unfair to expect him to be as good as Taylor or Henry, or anywhere near it. It doesn’t have to be the start, but I don’t like the conditions he’s relegated to and I think he’d be frustrated with RB2 who might share touches on an offense I insisted on finally splitting things up for the season as well.

What are the most popular backups?

Again, we’ll take a deeper look at this later in the week from Dave Richard, but here’s a quick list of my favorite appearances with the upside to target after the 100th pick in the ADP: Rhamondre Stevenson, Isaiah Spiller, Alexander Mattison (obviously), Rashad White , James Robinson, Kenneth Jenwell, Tyrion Davis-Price, Chris Evans, Trey Sermon, Tyler Buddy.

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